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Lomnitz C. — Fundamentals of earthquake prediction
Lomnitz C. — Fundamentals of earthquake prediction



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Íàçâàíèå: Fundamentals of earthquake prediction

Àâòîð: Lomnitz C.

Àííîòàöèÿ:

The new field of earthquake prediction is scientifically challenging. Many lives could be saved if reliable, practical, prediction methods could be developed. While plate tectonics offers basic insight, proposals for practical prediction techniques are controversial. This book contains the rigorous statistical methods and analysis which allow readers to recognize promising approaches.


ßçûê: en

Ðóáðèêà: Ôèçèêà/Ãåîôèçèêà/

Ñòàòóñ ïðåäìåòíîãî óêàçàòåëÿ: Ãîòîâ óêàçàòåëü ñ íîìåðàìè ñòðàíèö

ed2k: ed2k stats

Ãîä èçäàíèÿ: 1994

Êîëè÷åñòâî ñòðàíèö: 326

Äîáàâëåíà â êàòàëîã: 18.09.2005

Îïåðàöèè: Ïîëîæèòü íà ïîëêó | Ñêîïèðîâàòü ññûëêó äëÿ ôîðóìà | Ñêîïèðîâàòü ID
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Ïðåäìåòíûé óêàçàòåëü
$b$-value      161
$Nature$      270—272 274
$Q$      235 257—260
Aftershocks      150—153
Aki, Keiiti      140—142 230 279
Alluvial valleys      227
Amplification on soft ground      221—223 277
Animal behavior      131—133 276
Arrival times      265
Ashigara Test Area      223
Bayes’ Theorem      8 50
Benioff — Shimazaki process      180—186
Benioff, Hugo      180
Bias      265 267
Boltzmann, Ludwig      273
Brune, James N.      52
Building code      277
Butterflies      132
Byerly’s Law      95
Cabalists      195
CARS      158
Casualties      4
Chaleo Lake      236
Characteristic earthquakes      45 91
Chernobyl NPP      164
Chimpanzees      132
Clustering      96 179—180
Coincidences      251 263
Conservative hazard estimation      186—187
Consultants      160—163
Cratering      219—221
Creep function      258
Critical facilities      158
Cycles      262
Cypress structure      243—250
Damping ratio      234
Darwin, Charles, vii      155 235 282 285
Dilatancy-fluid diffusion      253—254
Dinaric Alps      260
Disasters, by country      286
Disasters, instability      199—201 204—206
Disasters, irrationality      201—202
Disasters, theory      193—209
Disasters, volunteers      284
Double helix      196
Double-blind testing      266
Duration of seismic motion      235
Earth tides      59
Earthquake precursors, animals      128—133 276
Earthquake precursors, catfish (namazu)      133
Earthquake precursors, Chinese model      18
Earthquake precursors, coda Q      140—142
Earthquake precursors, definition      255
Earthquake precursors, dilatancy      253
Earthquake precursors, donut pattern      269
Earthquake precursors, earth potential      133—137
Earthquake precursors, equinoxes      7—10
Earthquake precursors, foreshocks      24 54 71 150 269
Earthquake precursors, ground temperature      131
Earthquake precursors, groundwater anomalies      56—67
Earthquake precursors, humans      133
Earthquake precursors, magnetic anomalies      142 146
Earthquake precursors, probability gain      9
Earthquake precursors, radon      60 72 75
Earthquake precursors, resistivity      143—147
Earthquake precursors, seismic gaps      88 92—99
Earthquake precursors, seismic swarm      24
Earthquake precursors, sky luminescence      137—138
Earthquake precursors, snakes      29 131
Earthquake precursors, strain      85
Earthquake precursors, testing      264
Earthquake precursors, tilt, geodetic      23 67—71 254
Earthquake precursors, uplift      254 264
Earthquake prediction, Alaska      98
Earthquake prediction, Benioff      180
Earthquake prediction, Calaveras      37
Earthquake prediction, calendric, viii Earthquake prediction, California      38 40 274
Earthquake prediction, Chile      67 98
Earthquake prediction, China      14—31
Earthquake prediction, credibility      10
Earthquake prediction, croupiers      123
Earthquake prediction, cycles      166
Earthquake prediction, deterministic      158
Earthquake prediction, elastic rebound      256
Earthquake prediction, ethics, x-xi Earthquake prediction, evacuation      25—26
Earthquake prediction, evaluation      34—36
Earthquake prediction, fairness      139 261
Earthquake prediction, feasibility, viii      10—13 208—209 282
Earthquake prediction, interdisciplinary research      281
Earthquake prediction, Italy      260
Earthquake prediction, Japan      117 270—276
Earthquake prediction, Lawson      256
Earthquake prediction, magnitudes      161
Earthquake prediction, mapping (of faults)      160
Earthquake prediction, military approach      19 254
Earthquake prediction, North America      119
Earthquake prediction, Oaxaca      99 122—127
Earthquake prediction, on soft ground      223—226
Earthquake prediction, Parkfield      34—52 272
Earthquake prediction, pattern recognition      269
Earthquake prediction, peer review      138—140 272—273
Earthquake prediction, Peru      35—36
Earthquake prediction, politics      270—273 282
Earthquake prediction, population alert      26
Earthquake prediction, propaganda      30
Earthquake prediction, quiescence      122—123 126
Earthquake prediction, Romania      135—137
Earthquake prediction, South America      118
Earthquake prediction, stabilizing effect      202—204
Earthquake prediction, statistical dynamics      92
Earthquake prediction, step-by-step      254—256
Earthquake prediction, strategy      254
Earthquake prediction, superstition      62—63
Earthquake prediction, taboo      193
Earthquake prediction, thermodynamics      147—153
Earthquake prediction, Tokyo (Tokai)      76—77 117 275
Earthquake prediction, triggering      154—156
Earthquake prediction, volunteers      17
Earthquake prediction, Wiener      157
Earthquake(s), 1556 Huaxian      200
Earthquake(s), 1858 Mexico      239
Earthquake(s), 1906 San Francisco      256
Earthquake(s), 1952 Kern County      56
Earthquake(s), 1960 Chile      3 238—239 256
Earthquake(s), 1964 Alaska      106
Earthquake(s), 1966 Xingtai      14
Earthquake(s), 1967 Cangzhou      14
Earthquake(s), 1967 Caracas      3
Earthquake(s), 1968 Oaxaca      128
Earthquake(s), 1968 Tokachi-Oki      4
Earthquake(s), 1969 Bohai      14
Earthquake(s), 1970 Dayi      15
Earthquake(s), 1970 Peru      200
Earthquake(s), 1970 Tonghai      15
Earthquake(s), 1970 Xiji      15
Earthquake(s), 1974 Zhaotong      20
Earthquake(s), 1975 Haicheng      20-31 139
Earthquake(s), 1976 Tangshan      31 61—66 143—147
Earthquake(s), 1978 Oaxaca      122—127
Earthquake(s), 1979 Izu-Oshima      71—76 84—87
Earthquake(s), 1979 Malibu      257
Earthquake(s), 1983 Coalinga      66
Earthquake(s), 1985 Chile      67
Earthquake(s), 1985 Mexico      viii 3 102 111 121 200 221 230 231—234 239 277—281
Earthquake(s), 1986 North Palm Springs      83
Earthquake(s), 1986 Vrancea      135—137 260
Earthquake(s), 1989 Armenia      4
Earthquake(s), 1990 Loma Prieta      4 36—39 138 152 221 240 243—250
Earthquake(s), 1990 Philippines      108 109
Earthquake(s), 1992 Landers      41—43
Earthquake(s), casualties      4 30
Earthquake(s), characteristic      45 91
Earthquake(s), disasters by country      286—293
Earthquake(s), energy release      101
Earthquake(s), epicenter      103
Earthquake(s), field      255
Earthquake(s), hazard      154—189
Earthquake(s), historical      177
Earthquake(s), hut      25
Earthquake(s), lights      viii
Earthquake(s), maps      101
Earthquake(s), mitigation      275
Earthquake(s), risk      156
Earthquake(s), scars      112—115
Earthquake(s), urban growth      4—7
Earthquake(s), visible waves      238
Edge effects      237—238
Elastic rebound theory      256—257
Equinoxes      7—10
Errors      265
Euphemisms      165
Ewing, Maurice      193
extreme values      175—178
Faulting, dynamics of      92
Fractal dimension      212
Fractality      211
Freeways, damage to      243
Gaps, seismicity      92—99
Gauss, Carl F.      265
Geller, Robert J., viii      270
Geotechnical procedures      224
Gilbert, Freeman      210—211
Gravity waves      214 232
Ground effects      210—250
Ground motion, estimation      225—230
Ground motion, in large earthquakes      236
Ground motion, one-dimensional method      226
Gumbel, E.J.      177
Gutenberg, Beno      161 193
Half-life      110—113
Hardin — Drnevich equation      212
Hazard estimation      178
Hazard function      176
Hazard reduction      276
Healing      108—112
Horse manure      161
Hot spots      91
Hurst, H.E.      166
Hybrid solutions for seismic response      226
Imaging      99—122
Independence      173
Infectivity      188
Instability, disaster as      199—201
International Decade of Natural Disaster Reduction      x
Izu — Ashigara region      76—87
Jahns, Richard      194
Jeffreys, Harold      193
Jinami      241
Keilis — Borok, Vladimir I.      41 269
Kisslinger, Carl      98
Klondike model      188—189
Knowledge      194—196
Kolmogorov, A.N.      206
KTB Project      55
Laguna Verde, Mexico, NPP      163
Lake Budi      238
Liaoning      20—29
Liquefaction      211 242—243 280
Loading rate      183
Logistic equation      208
Lognormal distribution      207
Lomnitz — Adler, Jorge      92 156
Magnitude estimation      170 267
Mao Zedong      15—16 195
Matuzawa waves      241
Mercalli scale      196
Mexican hat      155 268
Mexico (and Japan)      276
Mexico City clay      280
Mexico earthquake (1985)      viii 3 102 111 121 200 221 230 231—234 239 277—281
Mitigation vs prediction      275
Model dependence      251—253
Moment-ratio imaging (MRI)      115—122
Monte Carlo simulation      48—49
Moon, impact craters on      219
NEPEC      34 43
Nishenko, S. P.      98 109
Nuclear power plants      158—165
Omori’s Law      114 151
Onsager coefficients      149
Operating basis earthquake      159
orderliness      173
Overturning moment      232
P$\acute{o}$lya process      150
Palm — Khinchin Theorem      174
Palmdale uplift      264
Parkfield      34—52 272
Phase transition      281
Placebo      266
Plate tectonics      89—91
Point processes      99 173 326
Poisson process      171—180
Poster sessions      276
Power laws      212
Predictability      208—209
Preparation area      19
Press, Frank      3 33
Prograde particle motion      230—233
Randomness      171
Rapel Reservoir      69
Rayleigh waves      213—215 230
Reid, Harry F.      256
Reinforced-concrete design problems      250
Rescaled range analysis      165—171
Residual      116
Resonance      233
retrofitting      247
Richter, C.F.      7 95 193 219
Risk, definition      156
Safe shutdown earthquake      158
Safety regulations      162
San Francisco Bay mud      248
Scientific thinking, definition      269
Seismic moment: definition      103 1900—1990 294—308
Seismicity saddles      105
Seismology, definition      vii
Self-exciting process      188
Self-organization      252
Self-similarity      166
shear modulus      212
Shimazaki — Nakata model      181—183
Slationarity      173
Slepwise, or step-by-step      19 254—256
Slowquakes      77—83 257 283
Soils, $in$ $situ$ properties      224
Soils, damage from traffic      240
Soils, damping      234
Soils, seismic response      226
Soils, shear modulus degradation      229
Solitons      215—221
Spectrum, response      278
Sports prize      263
Sputnik      32
Stability analysis      215
Strain accumulation      110
Strange attractors      209
Stress drop      147 268
Strong motion      210—250
Sykes, Lynn R.      94
Tectonics, Izu Peninsula      77—83
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