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Rosenhouse J. — The Monty Hall Problem: The Remarkable Story of Math's Most Contentious Brain Teaser
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Название: The Monty Hall Problem: The Remarkable Story of Math's Most Contentious Brain Teaser
Автор: Rosenhouse J.
Аннотация: "Let's Make a Deal," with its popular host Monty Hall, was a staple of 1970s game shows, with squirming contestants trying to guess which of three doors concealed the grand prize. The contestant chooses a door, but does not open it. Monty opens a different door, always empty. The contestant faces a choice: stick with his original door or switch to the remaining door?
This mindbender is known as "the Monty Hall Problem," the subject of Jason Rosenhouse's witty new book. Rosenhouse, associate professor of mathematics at James Madison University, examines the problem from multiple angles, lucidly explaining why, though counterintuitive, the best choice is to switch doors.
//The Monty Hall Problem// is sure to elicit emotional responses — as the conundrum itself has for years among mathematicians, philosophers, physicists, and others. Rosenhouse acknowledges the provocative nature of the problem and faces it head on, thoroughly and convincingly explaining the math and logic of the problem and addressing several variations.
Although Rosenhouse's enthusiasm for the subject is infectious, readers whose education ended with Math 101 may find much of this book beyond reach, as it is thick with equations. But for those who aren't arithmophobes, //The Monty Hall Problem// is delightfully challenging.
Reviewed by Kelli Christiansen
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Рубрика: Математика /
Статус предметного указателя: Готов указатель с номерами страниц
ed2k: ed2k stats
Год издания: 2009
Количество страниц: 207
Добавлена в каталог: 08.02.2014
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Предметный указатель
Never-never land 139
New Year’s 6
New York 8
Newman, Paul 2
Newtonian mechanics 84
Nickerson, Raymond 147-48
Non-arbitrariness 170 172
Nucleus 127
Numerator 43
Objective probability 86
Ordered pairs 4 45 58
Ordered triples 47 61 63 169
Oxford University 23
Page, Scott 137
Palacios — Huerta, I. 152
Paradis, J. 112
Paradox 10 19 137 139 143 171-72
Partial derivative 111
Partition-edit-count 152
Pascal, Blaise 9-12
Pascal’s triangle 11
Pearl, Judea 151
Peirce, Charles Sanders 16
Persian Gulf 31
PHD 2-3 25 29
Philosopher(s) viii 31 87 128 133 151 155 164-65 177
Physicist(s) 31 87 126-28 133
Piatelli — Palmarini, Massimo 31
Platters, silver 139
Possible outcomes 43-44 85
Posterior probability see Bayes’ Theorem
Posterior uniformity 144
Prime number 46
Principle of non-arbitrariness 170-72
Prior probability see Bayes’ Theorem
Prior uncertainty 104
Prisoners problem see Three prisoners problem
Probabilistic weather forecasts 8
Probability calculations 37 43
probability distribution vii 44-46 49 50 55 59-63 122
Probability space 44 70 105
Probability theory, as an abstract construction 85
Probability theory, basics of 42-45 52
Probability theory, counterintuitive nature of 5-9 12
Probability theory, ecumenical view of 88
Probability theory, epistemic vs. statistical notions of 156-65
Probability theory, event, definition of 44
Probability theory, evidence and 7 14
Probability theory, exercises in 31
Probability theory, experiments in 4 28 40 58-59 64 85 87 122
Probability theory, history of 8-15
Probability theory, illustrating difficulty of 4-5
Probability theory, independence and 4 58-61 63 102 105
Probability theory, interpretations of 84-88
Probability theory, measures in 85
Probability theory, product rule and 6 60 63
Probability theory, reasoning about viii 5 9
Probability theory, single/individual cases and 160 164-65
Probability theory, sum rule and viii 4 44-45
Probability theory, textbooks on 85 121 139
Probability tree 53 76 131 169
Problem of points 10-12
Progressive Monty Hall problem, arbitrariness of door-numbering and 108
Progressive Monty Hall problem, basic principles of 98-101
Progressive Monty Hall problem, five-door case study of 95-101
Progressive Monty Hall problem, four-door version of 90-92 100
Progressive Monty Hall problem, information theory and see Information theory
Progressive Monty Hall problem, Monty’s limitations and 89
Progressive Monty Hall problem, other switching strategies and 107-11
Progressive Monty Hall problem, probability vector and 96-99 101-2
Progressive Monty Hall problem, statement of 89
Progressive Monty Hall problem, switching at the last minute and 90 92-94
Progressive Monty Hall problem, switching every time and 92 105-7
Progressive Monty Hall problem, switching exactly times and 109-11
Progressive Monty Hall problem, unique optimality of SLM and 101-4 112
Proportionality principle 82-84 117 138 168-69
Prozac 9
Psychologists viii 7 41 87 128
PubMed database 133
Quantum information see Quantum mechanics Monty
Quantum mechanics, irrational probabilities and 87
Quantum mechanics, Monty Hall problem and viii 126-28
Quantum mechanics, weirdness of 128
Quintuple 96
Radioactive 127
Random Monty 114
Random number generator 49
Random variables viii 122-23 162
Rao, M. Bhaskara 89
ratio 83 85 102 117 120-21 143
Rational number 43 87 96
Real numbers 85
Real-world situation 44 49 60
Recurrence relations ix 106-12
Refrigerators 123-124
Relative frequency 64 87 121
Risk and reward 81
Rolling dice see Dice rolling
Rosenthal, Jeffrey 8 82-83
RRD-gnostic/agnostic condition 41
Russell, Bertrand 10
Sample space, definition of 44
Sample space, enumerating the elements of 10 11 18 21 27 45-46 52 58 66-67 89
Sample space, probability theory and vii 50 122
Sample space, subsets of 44 59
Sample space, two-child problem and 139-40
Scalpel 145
Scheherazade 39
Search engines 133
Self-information 105
Selvin, Steve 20-22
Sensory capacity 133
September 6
SEQUENCE 126
Sexually ambiguous children 148
Shannon, Claude viii 104-5
Shell game 27 144
Shimojo, S. 141-45
Single-case probability see Probability theory single/individual
Skarsgard, Stellan 2
Sledgehammer 145
Slembeck, T. 152
Smith, John Maynard 18
Smullyan, Raymond 39-40
Some Teasers Concerning Conditional Probability 137
Spivey — Knowlton, M. 149 151
Sprenger, Jan 170 174
Stanford University 23
Statistical probability see Probability theory statistical
Statisticians 31 87 140
Sticking argument/strategy 2-3 36 40 49-52 79 115 123-24 159 171
Stock, share of 136
Subatomic particle 127
Subjective probability 86 156
Subjective theorems 141-44 152
Sugar 71
Superposition of states 127-28
Supporters of switching 40
Surviving player 115-16
Sweden 146
Switching argument/strategy 2-3 36 38 48-52 75-76 80 159
Symmetry heuristic 145
System, physical 127
Takeichi, H. 148
Telegraph 105
Television 19 80 158
Textbooks, probability theory see Probability theory textbooks
Theorem 85 110 112 142-43
Theoretical probability 50-51 64
Three prisoners problem 17-18 138 141-43 145
Three — Obsessed Monty 116-18
Todhunter, Isaac 13
Tossing coins see Coin tossing
Trial and error 134
Tubau, E. 152
Two-ace problem 4 40
Two-child problem 138-40
Two-puppy problem 26
Tyran, J. 152
U. S. Department of Transportation 71
U. S. Open 22
Undergraduate course 12
Uniform distribution 59
Uniformity assumption 145
United States 146
Updated probability 70 82-84 94 101-2 117 139
Venn diagram 10
Venn, John 10
Ventoulias, A. 112
Verschueren, N. 152
Viader, P. 112
Vos Savant, Marilyn vii 23-31 130-31 141 144
Wang, X.T. 152
War (card game) 129
Whitaker, Craig 23
Wieth, Mareike 135 151
Wikipedia 52 113
Working memory capacity 153
Yale University 175
Zabell, Sandy 22
“And Behind Door Number One, a Fatal Flaw” 175
“Constant Ratio” theorem 142-43
“Essay Toward Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances, An” 12
“Irrelevant, Therefore Invariant” theorem 142-43
“Number of Cases” theorem 142-43
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