Главная    Ex Libris    Книги    Журналы    Статьи    Серии    Каталог    Wanted    Загрузка    ХудЛит    Справка    Поиск по индексам    Поиск    Форум   
blank
Авторизация

       
blank
Поиск по указателям

blank
blank
blank
Красота
blank
Lindley D.V. — Understanding Uncertainty
Lindley D.V. — Understanding Uncertainty

Читать книгу
бесплатно

Скачать книгу с нашего сайта нельзя

Обсудите книгу на научном форуме



Нашли опечатку?
Выделите ее мышкой и нажмите Ctrl+Enter


Название: Understanding Uncertainty

Автор: Lindley D.V.

Аннотация:

From television game shows and gambling techniques to weather forecasting and the financial markets, virtually every aspect of modern life involves situations in which the outcomes are uncertain and of varying qualities. But as noted statistician Dennis Lindley writes in this distinctive text, "We want you to face up to uncertainty, not hide it away under false concepts, but to understand it and, moreover, to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill."

Accessibly written at an elementary level, this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules—craftily laid out in the book—that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability, the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life, especially in decision-making and science.

With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations, Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and:

* Explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty, its truths, and its falsehoods
* Explores what has been learned in the twentieth century about uncertainty
* Provides a logical, sensible method for acting in the face of uncertainty
* Presents vignettes of great discoveries made in the twentieth century
* Shows readers how to discern if another person—whether a lawyer,politician, scientist, or journalist—is talking sense, posing the right questions, or obtaining sound answers

Requiring only a basic understanding of mathematical concepts and operations, Understanding Uncertainty is useful as a text for all students who have probability or statistics as part of their course, even at the most introductory level.


Язык: en

Рубрика: Технология/

Статус предметного указателя: Неизвестно

ed2k: ed2k stats

Год издания: 2006

Количество страниц: 272

Добавлена в каталог: 02.07.2008

Операции: Положить на полку | Скопировать ссылку для форума | Скопировать ID
blank
Предметный указатель
blank
Реклама
blank
blank
HR
@Mail.ru
       © Электронная библиотека попечительского совета мехмата МГУ, 2004-2017
Электронная библиотека мехмата МГУ | Valid HTML 4.01! | Valid CSS! О проекте