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Resnick S.I. — Heavy-Tail Phenomena: Probabilistic and Statistical Modeling
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Название: Heavy-Tail Phenomena: Probabilistic and Statistical Modeling
Автор: Resnick S.I.
Аннотация: This comprehensive text gives an interesting and useful blend of the mathematical, probabilistic and statistical tools used in heavy-tail analysis. Heavy tails are characteristic of many phenomena where the probability of a single huge value impacts heavily. Record-breaking insurance losses, financial-log returns, files sizes stored on a server, transmission rates of files are all examples of heavy-tailed phenomena.
Key features:
* Unique text devoted to heavy-tails
* Emphasizes both probability modeling and statistical methods for fitting models. Most treatments focus on one or the other but not both
* Presents broad applicability of heavy-tails to the fields of data networks, finance (e.g., value-at- risk), insurance, and hydrology
* Clear, efficient and coherent exposition, balancing theory and actual data to show the applicability and limitations of certain methods
* Examines in detail the mathematical properties of the methodologies as well as their implementation in Splus or R statistical languages
* Exposition driven by numerous examples and exercises
Prerequisites for the reader include a prior course in stochastic processes and probability, some statistical background, some familiarity with time series analysis, and ability to use (or at least to learn) a statistics package such as R or Splus. This work will serve second-year graduate students and researchers in the areas of applied mathematics, statistics, operations research, electrical engineering, and economics.
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Рубрика: Технология /
Статус предметного указателя: Готов указатель с номерами страниц
ed2k: ed2k stats
Год издания: 2006
Количество страниц: 404
Добавлена в каталог: 13.05.2008
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Предметный указатель
39
45 360
49
46 257 360
-topology 360
input model 125
49 360
50 360
41
42
44
44
55
207 250
-variation 207
-variation and regular variation 37
-variation, auxiliary function 37
-variation, composition 38
-variation, definition 37
ACF 341 342
acf, classical 347
acf, heavy tailed 347
acf, sample 341
Active sources 254
Activity rate 264
Addition 226 228
Almost surely continuous 213 215 216 220
AltHill plot 317
Angular measure 179 196 211 251 304 308 310 311 313 316 318 337 352 370
Angular measure, full dependence 196
Angular measure, hidden 335 337
Angular measure, independence 193
arch 6 307
ARMA 341
Arzela — Ascoli theorem 46
Asymptotic dependence 304
Asymptotic dependence, full 195
Asymptotic independence 191 195 206 231 304 313 316 319 322 325 327 332 355
Asymptotic independence and extremes 209
Asymptotic independence, examples 209
Asymptotic independence, pairwise 209
Asymptotic normality 94 291 296 302 304 341 350
Asymptotic variance 90 369
Augmentation 122 130 144 241
Augmentation and transition functions 144
Autocorrelation function 8 341
Autoregressive model 184 341
Auxiliary function 37
axes 360
Basic convergence 138
Bellcore study 124
Big block–little block 210
Binding 210 228
Bootstrap 184 247
Bootstrap, asymptotics, do not work 189
Bootstrap, asymptotics, work 188
Bootstrap, multinomial 187
Bootstrap, procedure 187
Bootstrap, sample 187 188
Bootstrap, sample, mean 247
Bootstrap, sample, size 186
Boston University study 4 124
Breiman’s theorem 231 250
Breiman’s theorem, converse 250
Brownian motion 292 300
Brownian motion, convergence to 54
Cadlag 360
Cauchy 21 67 198
Characteristic function 53 153 154
Characteristic function, stable Levy motion 154
Choice theory 251
Cluster 164
Coefficient of tail dependence 322 327
Compact 171 324
Compact, support 360
Compactness condition 141 177 232 241 242 248
Complete randomness 120
Complete randomness and independent increments 151
composition 297 338
Cone 167 175 198 323 331 351 352 355 360
Cone, subcone 323
Connection rate 253 254
Consistent estimator 73 89 94 108 138 308
Continuous function, modulus of continuity 46
Continuous mapping 42 55 82 83 137 213 215 337
Continuous mapping, second theorem 69
Convergence, almost sure 41
Convergence, criterion, Laplace functional 137
Convergence, probability measures 39
Convergence, Skorohod 47
Convergence, uniform 17
Convergence, vague 49
Convergence, vague and regular variation 61
Convergence, weak 39
Convergence, weak and almost sure 41
Convex hull 251
Correlation 306
Cramer — Wold device 53
C[0, 1] 45
D(h) 42
Danish data 13 105
Data, networks 3
Data, transmission 123
Decoupage de Levy 76 115
Diffusion approximation 272
Domain of attraction 92
Domain of attraction, regular variation 23
Donsker’s theorem 54 292
Download time 264
Duration 238 316
D[0, 1] 46
Empirical measure 63 134 138
Empirical measure, convergence to PRM 138
Empirical measure, Laplace functional 139
Empirical measure, Poissonized 134
Empirical measure, weak convergence of 138
Exceedance 74 75 171
Exceedance, times 75
Excess 75
exchange rates 7 305
Extremal process 160 212 213 247
Extremal process and Levy process 164
Extremal process, construction 161
Extremal process, properties 161
Extremal process, structure 213
Extremal process, weak convergence 213
Extreme events 304
Extreme-value distributions 92 369
Extreme-value distributions, definition 91
Extreme-value distributions, domain of attraction 92
Extremes 171 211 363 368
Extremes, multivariate 211 212
Extremes, weak convergence 211 212
Fast growth 255
file size 238 253 317
First-come-first-served basis 273
Fractional Brownian motion 125 254
Function class, 207 250
Functional 213 215 220
Functional, difference 216
Functional, extreme 213
Functional, integral 84
Functional, largest jump 164 220
Functional, maximal 146
Functional, restriction 176 183 206 215 233 243
Functional, summation 146 214 215
Functional, summation, continuity 221
G 44
GARCH 6 307
GI/G/1 queue 272 278 281
Glivenko — Cantelli theorem 182
Hausdorff metric 251
Heavy tails and file size 125
Heavy tails and long-range dependence 125 130
Heavy tails and transmission duration 125
Heavy tails, analysis 1
Heavy tails, components 1
Heavy tails, context 3
Heavy tails, detection 96 101 102
Heavy tails, examples 3
Heavy tails, overview 1
Heavy traffic 254 272 275 279
Hidden regular variation 322—325 327 328 330 332 333 337 351
Hidden regular variation, detection 332
Hidden regular variation, example 330 331
Hidden regular variation, finite angular measure 331 352 353
Hidden regular variation, infinite angular measure 330 354
Hill estimator 74 80 85 187 292 296 302 303 350 364 369
Hill estimator, consistency 81
Hill estimator, Internet response data 102
Hill estimator, not location invariant 88
Hill estimator, practice 85
Hill estimator, variants, smooHill 89
Hill estimator, variants, smooHill, altHill 90
Hill plot 85 307 317 319 332
Hill plot, BU data 4
Hill plot, Danish data 105
Hill plot, exponential variates 96
Hill plot, horror 86
Hill plot, Internet response data 103
Hill process 90
Homogeneous Poisson process 293
Independent increments 120 151
Induced measure 121
Infinite-node Poisson model 4 123 125 253
Infinite-node Poisson model and long-range dependence 127
Infinite-node Poisson model, active sources 254
Infinite-node Poisson model, fast growth 255
Infinite-node Poisson model, input rate 255
Infinite-node Poisson model, slow growth 255
Infinite-node Poisson model, transmission rate 123 254
Infinite-order moving average 341
Input rate 255
Insurance 13 319 332
Insurance, claims 264 319
Insurance, premium 13
Insurance, reinsurance 13
Internet 238 316
Internet, duration 124 125 316
Internet, file transfers 316
Internet, rate 124 316
Internet, response 102 316 317
Internet, size 124 317
Internet, throughput 316
Internet, traffic 123
Invariant 126
Inverse 18 360
inversion 32 58 266
Inversion, second-order regular variation 67
Ito representation 216
Karamata, representation 29 256
Karamata, theorem 25 85 132 219 246 258 261 262 285 299
Karamata, theorem and point processes 248
Karamata, theorem, stochastic version 207
Karamata, theorem, Tauberian 265
Karamata, theorem, variant 36
Kolmogorov, convergence criterion 150
Kolmogorov, inequality 157 160 218 283
Kolmogorov, inequality, continuous-time version 157
Laplace functional 132 190 210 287
Laplace functional and random measures 132
Laplace functional and weak convergence 137
Laplace functional, definition 132
Laplace functional, determines distribution 133
Laplace functional, empirical measure 139
Laplace functional, examples 134 163
Laplace functional, muscle flexing 137
Laplace functional, Poisson process 134
Laplace transform 37 53 79 239 272
Least squares 106
Levy, measure 214 219 249 279 280
Levy, measure, definition 146
Levy, process 146 171 214 280
Levy, process and Poisson process 146
Levy, process, characteristic function 151 155
Levy, process, compound Poisson 147
Levy, process, construction 146 150
Levy, process, independent increments 151
Levy, process, Ito representation 150 216
Levy, process, path properties 155
Levy, process, properties 150
Levy, process, stable Levy motion 154
Levy, process, stationary increments 152
Levy, process, stochastic continuity 152
Levy, process, subordinators 153
Levy, process, totally skewed 147
Levy, process, variance calculations 148
Levy, process, weak convergence 214
Levy, stable motion 218
Limit, function 167
Limit, function, continuity 210
Limit, measure 173 179 251 308 310 314 328 352
Limit, measure, general representation 196
Lindley queues 272 273 275 276 279
Linear process 341
Local uniform convergence 214 216
Log-gamma 68
Long-range dependence 4 6 123 253 254
Long-range dependence and heavy tails 125 126 130
Long-range dependence and religion 126
Long-range dependence, definition 126
Long-range dependence, detection 127
Long-range dependence, example 127
Long-range dependence, Internet traffic 123
Long-range dependence, packet counts per time 124
m-dependence 210
Marking, location dependent 144
Martingale 283
Max-infinite divisibility 161
Maximal inequality 283
Maximum-likelihood estimation 74
Mean measure 119
Metric, Hausdorff 116
Metric, Skorohod 46 214
Metric, space 360
Metric, space, cadlag functions 40 46
Metric, space, closed sets 116
Metric, space, continuous functions 40 45
Metric, space, Euclidean 44
Metric, space, examples 44
Metric, space, point measures 40 48
Metric, space, Radon measures 40 48
Metric, space, sequences 45
Metric, uniform 45 214
Metric, vague 49
Mittag — Leffler distribution 272 277 278
Mixtures 330
Modulus of continuity 46 55
Moment estimator 90 93 369
MSFT 113
Multivariate, heavy tails 304 322
Multivariate, regular variation 167 179 212 231 236 308 331 353
Multivariate, regular variation, asymptotic, full dependence 195
Multivariate, regular variation, asymptotic, independence 191
Multivariate, regular variation, Cauchy 198
Multivariate, regular variation, densities 199
Multivariate, regular variation, examples 191 198 200
Multivariate, regular variation, functions 167
Multivariate, regular variation, general construction 197
Multivariate, regular variation, independence 191
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