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Duffie D., Singleton K.J. — Credit Risk. Pricing, Measurement and Management
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Íàçâàíèå: Credit Risk. Pricing, Measurement and Management
Àâòîðû: Duffie D., Singleton K.J.
Àííîòàöèÿ: In this book, two of America's leading economists provide the first integrated treatment of the conceptual, practical, and empirical foundations for credit risk pricing and risk measurement. Masterfully applying theory to practice, Darrell Duffie and Kenneth Singleton model credit risk for the purpose of measuring portfolio risk and pricing defaultable bonds, credit derivatives, and other securities exposed to credit risk. The methodological rigor, scope, and sophistication of their state-of-the-art account is unparalleled, and its singularly in-depth treatment of pricing and credit derivatives further illuminates a problem that has drawn much attention in an era when financial institutions the world over are revising their credit management strategies.
Duffie and Singleton offer critical assessments of alternative approaches to credit-risk modeling, while highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of current practice. Their approach blends in-depth discussions of the conceptual foundations of modeling with extensive analyses of the empirical properties of such credit-related time series as default probabilities, recoveries, ratings transitions, and yield spreads. Both the "structura" and "reduced-form" approaches to pricing defaultable securities are presented, and their comparative fits to historical data are assessed. The authors also provide a comprehensive treatment of the pricing of credit derivatives, including credit swaps, collateralized debt obligations, credit guarantees, lines of credit, and spread options. Not least, they describe certain enhancements to current pricing and management practices that, they argue, will better position financial institutions for future changes in the financial markets.
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Ðóáðèêà: Ýêîíîìèêà è ôèíàíñû /
Ñòàòóñ ïðåäìåòíîãî óêàçàòåëÿ: Ãîòîâ óêàçàòåëü ñ íîìåðàìè ñòðàíèö
ed2k: ed2k stats
Ãîä èçäàíèÿ: 2003
Êîëè÷åñòâî ñòðàíèö: 396
Äîáàâëåíà â êàòàëîã: 17.06.2006
Îïåðàöèè: Ïîëîæèòü íà ïîëêó |
Ñêîïèðîâàòü ññûëêó äëÿ ôîðóìà | Ñêîïèðîâàòü ID
Ïðåäìåòíûé óêàçàòåëü
Mark, R. 7 314
Markdown 108
Market imperfections 12—13
Market risk 15—25 315—332
market risk and 4 36
Market risk measurement 30—37
Market risk measurement, coherency of measures 36—37
Market risk measurement, expected tail loss 11 34—35 35 37 315—317
Market risk measurement, measure 30
Market risk measurement, price of market value insurance 35—36
Market risk measurement, time horizon for 33 35—36 price”)
Market risk, allocation of capital versus risk 22—23
Market risk, capital as scarce resource 20—21
Market risk, cash flow at risk 34
Market risk, conditional expected loss 34—35 35
Market risk, credit risk as part of 1—2 38
Market risk, defined 1 3
Market risk, delta-gamma derivatives with jumps 326—332
Market risk, financial distress and 31
Market risk, integration with credit risk 332—334
Market risk, leverage and risk for financial firms 21—22
Market risk, minimum capital requirements 17—20 33
Market risk, modeling return distributions 319—322
Market risk, nature of 4
Market risk, performance incentives 25
Market risk, principal-agent effects 20 21
Market risk, profit-loss asymmetries 13—15 14 16—17 18
Market risk, risk-adjusted return on capital 23—25
Market risk, shapes of return distributions 315—319 322—326
Market risk, standard deviation in measuring 24 (see also “Value at risk” “Volatility price”)
Market value of firm 12—13
Markov processes in credit rating transitions 86—87 90 91 94—99
Markov processes, generator for Markov chain 94—97
Markov processes, jump diffusion 11 347—353
Markov processes, Lando’s stochastic transition-intensity model 97—99 142
Markov processes, multi-issuer default model 256—257
Markov processes, time-varying transition intensities 95—97
Markov processes, trapping state 94
Marshall, J. 289
Martin, J. 139
Mason, S. 109 169
McBrady, M. 147—148
McDonald, C 82—84
Mean-reverting default intensities with jumps (MRJ) 64—67 64 69—71 70 129 234—236
Mella-Barral, P. 55
Mello, A. 299 304
Mendelson, H. 135
Merrick, J. J. 171
Merrill Lynch 27 note 7 125
Merton, R. 9 36 53 112 169 202 231 308
Mezhlumian, Arthur 199 note
Miller, Merton 12 16
Millken, Michael 48
Miltersen, K. 101 note 1 369
Minimum capital requirements for financial firms 21—22
Minimum capital requirements, Bank for International Settlements guidelines 33—34 39—42 139
Minimum capital requirements, establishing 17—20
MIX-GARCH model 320 321—322 322—323 322 324—325
Modigliani, Franco 12 16
Mody, A. 151
Momentum, in credit rating transitions 87 91—92
Monotonicity, of risk measures 37
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring credit risk 42
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring default risk 241
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring market risk 34
Monte Carlo simulation of default time 260—261
Monte Carlo simulation, credit-risk adjustment 300—301 300
Monte Carlo simulation, integration of market and credit risk 332—334
Moody’s 9 43—44 45 45 46 48 50 53 75 80 82 85—86 86 87—88 91—93 123 123 124 125 142—143 149 150 159 230 242 243 244 265 291
Moody’s Global Credit Research 65—66
Moody’s Investors Service 258—260 260
Moody’s Risk Management Services 57—59 234 234 238—239 243 261
Moral hazard 2 28—29 38 253—255
Morgan Stanley 27 note 7
Morris, C 160
Mortality rate, in bankruptcy prediction 80
Morton, A. 11 71—72 367
MRJ see “Mean-reverting default intensities with jumps”
Mullins, D. 80 82
Multi-issuer default model 256—257
Multicompensator method of default-time simulation 244—245
Multivariate hazard construction 245
Myers, S. 21
Nagpal, K. 87 92
Nakazato, D. 142
NationsBank 254—255
Neal, R 160
Netting, of OTC credit derivatives 286 299—300 306—307 310—311 311
Nickell, P. 88 90 90
Nielsen, L. T. 170 note 8
Noe, X 5
Norros, I. 245
Nyborg, K. 215
Nychka, D. 293
Obligor default intensities 255—256
OECD see “Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development”
Off-market swap-rate credit spreads 307
OgdenJ. 169
One-sided default risk 296—300
Operational risk, defined 3—4 6
Operational risk, examples of 6—7
Optional credit pricing 10 194—228
Optional credit pricing, callable and convertible corporate debt 194 201—228
Optional credit pricing, rational-exercise American option pricing model 204—206
Optional credit pricing, spread options 194—201
ordered probits of credit ratings 88 92—93
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) 40 41
OTC credit derivatives 4 10 39
OTC credit derivatives, adverse selection and credit exposure 26—27
OTC credit derivatives, asset swaps 190—193
OTC credit derivatives, bilateral netting 286 299—300 306—307 310—311 311f
OTC credit derivatives, credit-risk value adjustments 295—304
OTC credit derivatives, currency swaps 311—313
OTC credit derivatives, exposure 38—39 285—295
OTC credit derivatives, forward contracts 296—298
OTC credit derivatives, interest-rate swaps 10—11 287 289—295 298 301—311
OTC credit derivatives, moral hazard 28—29
OTC credit derivatives, options portfolio credit risk 339—343 343 345
OTC credit derivatives, spread options 175 195—197
OTC credit derivatives, swaptions 302 figure 303
OTC credit derivatives, total-return swaps 173—175 (see also “Credit swaps” “Default
Overshooting 320
Packer, R 150
Page, M 327
Pages, H. 171
Pakistan, Eurobonds exchange 147—148 149
Pan, J. 128 322 335 337 337 338 340 341 343 344 345 347 350 352 356—359 357
Par spreads 228 figure
Par spreads, collateralized debt obligation 268—271
Par-bond spreads 136
Paris Club 149
Partial differential equations (PDE) 304
Patel, S. 81—82
Paul, A. 80 82
PDE see “Partial differential equations”
Pearson, N. 305
Pedersen, A. 364—365
Pedersen, L. 135 165
Penn Central Railroad 45
Perfect capital markets 12—13
Performance incentives 25
Perold, A. 36
Perraudin, W. 88 90 90 314
Phelan, M.J. 320
Philippines, bonds of 151
Pirotte, H. 289
Pitts, C. 308 note 13
Plain-vanilla (conventional) options 9 289—291 294 298 306
Potential credit exposure 38—39
Potential exposure 286—288
Powell, J. 77
Prentice, R. 75
Principal-agent effects 20 21
Probit model of bankruptcy prediction 76 78 79 79
Profit centers, allocating risk to 22—23
Profit centers, relative earnings of 25
Profit centers, “bidding” on additional market value 23—24
Profit-loss asymmetries 13—15 14 16—17 18
Progressive tax schedule 16—17 16
Propensity to call 224—225
Proportional-hazards model of bankruptcy prediction 75—76 78 79—80
Proschan, F. 249 note 9—10
Protter, P. 72 note l2 358
Punjabi, S. 252
Pye, G. 109
Pyle, D. 21
Qualitative-response models of bankruptcy prediction 76 78 79 79
Quality pricing 2
RAACE see “Restructuring as a Covered Credit Event”
Ramaswamy, K. 170
Ratings momentum 87 91—92
Ratings-transition risk 45 85—92 137—146
Ratings-transition risk, aging effect 87 91—92
Ratings-transition risk, applications 139
Ratings-transition risk, average transition frequencies 85—87 86 87
Ratings-transition risk, calibrating model to historical data 142—146
Ratings-transition risk, defined 8
Ratings-transition risk, gapping risk 9 138—139
Ratings-transition risk, general pricing framework 139—142
Ratings-transition risk, Markov-chain assumption 86—87 90 91 94—99
Ratings-transition risk, multiyear transition probabilities 90 90
Ratings-transition risk, ordered probits of ratings 88 92—93
Ratings-transition risk, ratings risk and business cycle 87—91
Rational-exercise American option pricing model 204—206
Recovery risk 9 125—137
Recovery risk, assumption of independent 155
Recovery risk, collateralized debt obligation 258
Recovery risk, comparing recovery assumptions 135—137
Recovery risk, conditional expected recovery 130—131
Recovery risk, fractional recovery of face value 125—130 135
Recovery risk, fractional recovery of market value 131—135 166
Recovery risk, impact on derivative price 199 200
Recovery risk, sovereign debt 126 147 150—151
Recovery risk, zero-recovery assumption 142—143
Recovery-of-face-value (RFV) 125—130 135—137 185
Recovery-of-market value (RMV) 130—137 166
Recursive-inverse-CDF simulation 246—247
Reduced-form default risk 8—9 43 100 106—111 118—119
Reduced-form default risk, corporate bond valuation with recovery 125—137
Reduced-form default risk, default risk valuation 100 106—111 115 116—117 118—119 127
Reduced-form default risk, yield spread determination 166—169
Reference curves, for credit spreads 162—166
Regime switch risk 147
Regional risk 27 257—258
Regulatory risk 6—7
Reisen, H. 150
Remeza, H. 259—260 272—273
Rendleman, R. 304 note 10
Repo 180 181
Repo special 180—182
Restructuring as a Covered Credit Event (RAACE) 177—178
Restructuring risk 147
Revaluation risk 1—2
RFV see “Recovery-of-face-value”
Risk capital 36
Risk management 12—42
Risk management, nature of 14—15
risk management, purpose of 13 14—15
Risk management, state of economy and 15
Risk management, time horizon for 14—15 (see also “Risk measurement” “Specific
Risk measurement 29—42
Risk measurement, coherency of 36—37
Risk measurement, conditional expected loss 35—36 35
Risk measurement, delta-gamma approach to 11 326—32 327 331
Risk measurement, key elements 29—30 29
Risk measurement, price of market value insurance 35—36
Risk measurement, selection of risk measure 30
Risk measurement, standard deviation in 22—23 24
Risk measurement, stochastic volatility in 11
Risk measurement, value at risk 31—34 (see also “Credit risk measurement” “Market
Risk-free condition, of risk measures 37
Risk-neutral default probabilities 9 100—106 117—121 134—135
Risk-neutral default probabilities, callable and convertible corporate debt 206—209 216 217—219
Risk-neutral default probabilities, default swaps 184 189
Risk-weighted assets 39—42
RiskCalc 125
RiskMetrics 320 339 342 342
RMV see “Recovery-of-market value”
Rochet, J.-C. 5
Rogers, C 114
Rogoff, K. 146—147
Rogue traders 6 7
Rolling historical volatility model 319
Rolph, D. 160
Rosenfeld, E. 109 169
Rosenthal, J. 95 95
Ross, S. 66 107 116 256 293 346 351 366
Roubini, N. 147—148
Rubinstein, M. 330
Ruml, E. 299
Russia, debt restructuring (1993—1999) 149 152—155 152 153 172
Russia, financial crisis (1998) 4 10 15 172
Rutkowski, M. 101 note 1 142 367
SaaRequejo, J. 170 note 8
Safety premium, convertible debt 213
Saidenberg, M. 314
Salomon Brothers 4 27 31
Sandmann, K. 101 note 1
Santa-Clara, P. 170 note 8 364—365
Sarig, O. 88 109
Sariniti, D. 169 170
Savings-and-loan debacle 28
Schachermayer, W. 101
Scharfstein, D. 17
Schneller, M. 215
Scholes, M. 9 53 112 169 202 231
Schonbucher, P. 130 154 234 238
Schorin, C 251 254 259 260 261
Schroder, M. 126 note l
Schubert, D. 238
Schwartz, E. 55 113 170 171 215
Scott, L. 305 353—354 357
Seasholes, M. 147—148
sec see “Securities and Exchange Commission U.S.”
Sectoral risk 27 111 257—258
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), U.S. 21 32—33
Selby, M 308 note l3
Senbet, L. 20—21
Setdement risk, as part of credit risk 2—3
Shaked, M 243 note 6 245
Shane, H. 158
Shanthikumar, J. 243 note 6 245
Shareholders, potential conflict between creditors and 18—19
Shareholders, principal-agent effects 20 21
Sharpe ratio 120 121
Sharpe, W. 120
Shimko, D. 202—203
Shin, S. 330 note 7
Short squeeze 182
Short-option aspect 271
Shuffling symmetry 272
Shumway, T. 79
Singleton, K. 122 128 129 131 134 137 138 143 144 154 164 165 171 200 235—237 293 294 305 336 346 347 353 354 357 366 367 368
Sinking-fund tranches 264—265
Sinking-fund tranches, mezzanine-tranche 250 265—271 269 271 273 279 282
Sinking-fund tranches, senior-tranche 250 265—271 269 272 278 282
skewness 315—316 316 317 323 324
Skiadas, C 126 note l
Skodeberg, T. 87 92
Smith, C 289
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