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Duffie D., Singleton K.J. — Credit Risk. Pricing, Measurement and Management
Duffie D., Singleton K.J. — Credit Risk. Pricing, Measurement and Management



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Íàçâàíèå: Credit Risk. Pricing, Measurement and Management

Àâòîðû: Duffie D., Singleton K.J.

Àííîòàöèÿ:

In this book, two of America's leading economists provide the first integrated treatment of the conceptual, practical, and empirical foundations for credit risk pricing and risk measurement. Masterfully applying theory to practice, Darrell Duffie and Kenneth Singleton model credit risk for the purpose of measuring portfolio risk and pricing defaultable bonds, credit derivatives, and other securities exposed to credit risk. The methodological rigor, scope, and sophistication of their state-of-the-art account is unparalleled, and its singularly in-depth treatment of pricing and credit derivatives further illuminates a problem that has drawn much attention in an era when financial institutions the world over are revising their credit management strategies.
Duffie and Singleton offer critical assessments of alternative approaches to credit-risk modeling, while highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of current practice. Their approach blends in-depth discussions of the conceptual foundations of modeling with extensive analyses of the empirical properties of such credit-related time series as default probabilities, recoveries, ratings transitions, and yield spreads. Both the "structura" and "reduced-form" approaches to pricing defaultable securities are presented, and their comparative fits to historical data are assessed. The authors also provide a comprehensive treatment of the pricing of credit derivatives, including credit swaps, collateralized debt obligations, credit guarantees, lines of credit, and spread options. Not least, they describe certain enhancements to current pricing and management practices that, they argue, will better position financial institutions for future changes in the financial markets.


ßçûê: en

Ðóáðèêà: Ýêîíîìèêà è ôèíàíñû/

Ñòàòóñ ïðåäìåòíîãî óêàçàòåëÿ: Ãîòîâ óêàçàòåëü ñ íîìåðàìè ñòðàíèö

ed2k: ed2k stats

Ãîä èçäàíèÿ: 2003

Êîëè÷åñòâî ñòðàíèö: 396

Äîáàâëåíà â êàòàëîã: 17.06.2006

Îïåðàöèè: Ïîëîæèòü íà ïîëêó | Ñêîïèðîâàòü ññûëêó äëÿ ôîðóìà | Ñêîïèðîâàòü ID
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Ïðåäìåòíûé óêàçàòåëü
Mark, R.      7 314
Markdown      108
Market imperfections      12—13
Market risk      15—25 315—332
market risk and      4 36
Market risk measurement      30—37
Market risk measurement, coherency of measures      36—37
Market risk measurement, expected tail loss      11 34—35 35 37 315—317
Market risk measurement, measure      30
Market risk measurement, price of market value insurance      35—36
Market risk measurement, time horizon for      33 35—36 price”)
Market risk, allocation of capital versus risk      22—23
Market risk, capital as scarce resource      20—21
Market risk, cash flow at risk      34
Market risk, conditional expected loss      34—35 35
Market risk, credit risk as part of      1—2 38
Market risk, defined      1 3
Market risk, delta-gamma derivatives with jumps      326—332
Market risk, financial distress and      31
Market risk, integration with credit risk      332—334
Market risk, leverage and risk for financial firms      21—22
Market risk, minimum capital requirements      17—20 33
Market risk, modeling return distributions      319—322
Market risk, nature of      4
Market risk, performance incentives      25
Market risk, principal-agent effects      20 21
Market risk, profit-loss asymmetries      13—15 14 16—17 18
Market risk, risk-adjusted return on capital      23—25
Market risk, shapes of return distributions      315—319 322—326
Market risk, standard deviation in measuring      24 (see also “Value at risk” “Volatility price”)
Market value of firm      12—13
Markov processes in credit rating transitions      86—87 90 91 94—99
Markov processes, generator for Markov chain      94—97
Markov processes, jump diffusion      11 347—353
Markov processes, Lando’s stochastic transition-intensity model      97—99 142
Markov processes, multi-issuer default model      256—257
Markov processes, time-varying transition intensities      95—97
Markov processes, trapping state      94
Marshall, J.      289
Martin, J.      139
Mason, S.      109 169
McBrady, M.      147—148
McDonald, C      82—84
Mean-reverting default intensities with jumps (MRJ)      64—67 64 69—71 70 129 234—236
Mella-Barral, P.      55
Mello, A.      299 304
Mendelson, H.      135
Merrick, J. J.      171
Merrill Lynch      27 note 7 125
Merton, R.      9 36 53 112 169 202 231 308
Mezhlumian, Arthur      199 note
Miller, Merton      12 16
Millken, Michael      48
Miltersen, K.      101 note 1 369
Minimum capital requirements for financial firms      21—22
Minimum capital requirements, Bank for International Settlements guidelines      33—34 39—42 139
Minimum capital requirements, establishing      17—20
MIX-GARCH model      320 321—322 322—323 322 324—325
Modigliani, Franco      12 16
Mody, A.      151
Momentum, in credit rating transitions      87 91—92
Monotonicity, of risk measures      37
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring credit risk      42
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring default risk      241
Monte Carlo simulation in measuring market risk      34
Monte Carlo simulation of default time      260—261
Monte Carlo simulation, credit-risk adjustment      300—301 300
Monte Carlo simulation, integration of market and credit risk      332—334
Moody’s      9 43—44 45 45 46 48 50 53 75 80 82 85—86 86 87—88 91—93 123 123 124 125 142—143 149 150 159 230 242 243 244 265 291
Moody’s Global Credit Research      65—66
Moody’s Investors Service      258—260 260
Moody’s Risk Management Services      57—59 234 234 238—239 243 261
Moral hazard      2 28—29 38 253—255
Morgan Stanley      27 note 7
Morris, C      160
Mortality rate, in bankruptcy prediction      80
Morton, A.      11 71—72 367
MRJ      see “Mean-reverting default intensities with jumps”
Mullins, D.      80 82
Multi-issuer default model      256—257
Multicompensator method of default-time simulation      244—245
Multivariate hazard construction      245
Myers, S.      21
Nagpal, K.      87 92
Nakazato, D.      142
NationsBank      254—255
Neal, R      160
Netting, of OTC credit derivatives      286 299—300 306—307 310—311 311
Nickell, P.      88 90 90
Nielsen, L. T.      170 note 8
Noe, X      5
Norros, I.      245
Nyborg, K.      215
Nychka, D.      293
Obligor default intensities      255—256
OECD      see “Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development”
Off-market swap-rate credit spreads      307
OgdenJ.      169
One-sided default risk      296—300
Operational risk, defined      3—4 6
Operational risk, examples of      6—7
Optional credit pricing      10 194—228
Optional credit pricing, callable and convertible corporate debt      194 201—228
Optional credit pricing, rational-exercise American option pricing model      204—206
Optional credit pricing, spread options      194—201
ordered probits of credit ratings      88 92—93
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)      40 41
OTC credit derivatives      4 10 39
OTC credit derivatives, adverse selection and credit exposure      26—27
OTC credit derivatives, asset swaps      190—193
OTC credit derivatives, bilateral netting      286 299—300 306—307 310—311 311f
OTC credit derivatives, credit-risk value adjustments      295—304
OTC credit derivatives, currency swaps      311—313
OTC credit derivatives, exposure      38—39 285—295
OTC credit derivatives, forward contracts      296—298
OTC credit derivatives, interest-rate swaps      10—11 287 289—295 298 301—311
OTC credit derivatives, moral hazard      28—29
OTC credit derivatives, options portfolio credit risk      339—343 343 345
OTC credit derivatives, spread options      175 195—197
OTC credit derivatives, swaptions      302 figure 303
OTC credit derivatives, total-return swaps      173—175 (see also “Credit swaps” “Default
Overshooting      320
Packer, R      150
Page, M      327
Pages, H.      171
Pakistan, Eurobonds exchange      147—148 149
Pan, J.      128 322 335 337 337 338 340 341 343 344 345 347 350 352 356—359 357
Par spreads      228 figure
Par spreads, collateralized debt obligation      268—271
Par-bond spreads      136
Paris Club      149
Partial differential equations (PDE)      304
Patel, S.      81—82
Paul, A.      80 82
PDE      see “Partial differential equations”
Pearson, N.      305
Pedersen, A.      364—365
Pedersen, L.      135 165
Penn Central Railroad      45
Perfect capital markets      12—13
Performance incentives      25
Perold, A.      36
Perraudin, W.      88 90 90 314
Phelan, M.J.      320
Philippines, bonds of      151
Pirotte, H.      289
Pitts, C.      308 note 13
Plain-vanilla (conventional) options      9 289—291 294 298 306
Potential credit exposure      38—39
Potential exposure      286—288
Powell, J.      77
Prentice, R.      75
Principal-agent effects      20 21
Probit model of bankruptcy prediction      76 78 79 79
Profit centers, allocating risk to      22—23
Profit centers, relative earnings of      25
Profit centers, “bidding” on additional market value      23—24
Profit-loss asymmetries      13—15 14 16—17 18
Progressive tax schedule      16—17 16
Propensity to call      224—225
Proportional-hazards model of bankruptcy prediction      75—76 78 79—80
Proschan, F.      249 note 9—10
Protter, P.      72 note l2 358
Punjabi, S.      252
Pye, G.      109
Pyle, D.      21
Qualitative-response models of bankruptcy prediction      76 78 79 79
Quality pricing      2
RAACE      see “Restructuring as a Covered Credit Event”
Ramaswamy, K.      170
Ratings momentum      87 91—92
Ratings-transition risk      45 85—92 137—146
Ratings-transition risk, aging effect      87 91—92
Ratings-transition risk, applications      139
Ratings-transition risk, average transition frequencies      85—87 86 87
Ratings-transition risk, calibrating model to historical data      142—146
Ratings-transition risk, defined      8
Ratings-transition risk, gapping risk      9 138—139
Ratings-transition risk, general pricing framework      139—142
Ratings-transition risk, Markov-chain assumption      86—87 90 91 94—99
Ratings-transition risk, multiyear transition probabilities      90 90
Ratings-transition risk, ordered probits of ratings      88 92—93
Ratings-transition risk, ratings risk and business cycle      87—91
Rational-exercise American option pricing model      204—206
Recovery risk      9 125—137
Recovery risk, assumption of independent      155
Recovery risk, collateralized debt obligation      258
Recovery risk, comparing recovery assumptions      135—137
Recovery risk, conditional expected recovery      130—131
Recovery risk, fractional recovery of face value      125—130 135
Recovery risk, fractional recovery of market value      131—135 166
Recovery risk, impact on derivative price      199 200
Recovery risk, sovereign debt      126 147 150—151
Recovery risk, zero-recovery assumption      142—143
Recovery-of-face-value (RFV)      125—130 135—137 185
Recovery-of-market value (RMV)      130—137 166
Recursive-inverse-CDF simulation      246—247
Reduced-form default risk      8—9 43 100 106—111 118—119
Reduced-form default risk, corporate bond valuation with recovery      125—137
Reduced-form default risk, default risk valuation      100 106—111 115 116—117 118—119 127
Reduced-form default risk, yield spread determination      166—169
Reference curves, for credit spreads      162—166
Regime switch risk      147
Regional risk      27 257—258
Regulatory risk      6—7
Reisen, H.      150
Remeza, H.      259—260 272—273
Rendleman, R.      304 note 10
Repo      180 181
Repo special      180—182
Restructuring as a Covered Credit Event (RAACE)      177—178
Restructuring risk      147
Revaluation risk      1—2
RFV      see “Recovery-of-face-value”
Risk capital      36
Risk management      12—42
Risk management, nature of      14—15
risk management, purpose of      13 14—15
Risk management, state of economy and      15
Risk management, time horizon for      14—15 (see also “Risk measurement” “Specific
Risk measurement      29—42
Risk measurement, coherency of      36—37
Risk measurement, conditional expected loss      35—36 35
Risk measurement, delta-gamma approach to      11 326—32 327 331
Risk measurement, key elements      29—30 29
Risk measurement, price of market value insurance      35—36
Risk measurement, selection of risk measure      30
Risk measurement, standard deviation in      22—23 24
Risk measurement, stochastic volatility in      11
Risk measurement, value at risk      31—34 (see also “Credit risk measurement” “Market
Risk-free condition, of risk measures      37
Risk-neutral default probabilities      9 100—106 117—121 134—135
Risk-neutral default probabilities, callable and convertible corporate debt      206—209 216 217—219
Risk-neutral default probabilities, default swaps      184 189
Risk-weighted assets      39—42
RiskCalc      125
RiskMetrics      320 339 342 342
RMV      see “Recovery-of-market value”
Rochet, J.-C.      5
Rogers, C      114
Rogoff, K.      146—147
Rogue traders      6 7
Rolling historical volatility model      319
Rolph, D.      160
Rosenfeld, E.      109 169
Rosenthal, J.      95 95
Ross, S.      66 107 116 256 293 346 351 366
Roubini, N.      147—148
Rubinstein, M.      330
Ruml, E.      299
Russia, debt restructuring (1993—1999)      149 152—155 152 153 172
Russia, financial crisis (1998)      4 10 15 172
Rutkowski, M.      101 note 1 142 367
SaaRequejo, J.      170 note 8
Safety premium, convertible debt      213
Saidenberg, M.      314
Salomon Brothers      4 27 31
Sandmann, K.      101 note 1
Santa-Clara, P.      170 note 8 364—365
Sarig, O.      88 109
Sariniti, D.      169 170
Savings-and-loan debacle      28
Schachermayer, W.      101
Scharfstein, D.      17
Schneller, M.      215
Scholes, M.      9 53 112 169 202 231
Schonbucher, P.      130 154 234 238
Schorin, C      251 254 259 260 261
Schroder, M.      126 note l
Schubert, D.      238
Schwartz, E.      55 113 170 171 215
Scott, L.      305 353—354 357
Seasholes, M.      147—148
sec      see “Securities and Exchange Commission U.S.”
Sectoral risk      27 111 257—258
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), U.S.      21 32—33
Selby, M      308 note l3
Senbet, L.      20—21
Setdement risk, as part of credit risk      2—3
Shaked, M      243 note 6 245
Shane, H.      158
Shanthikumar, J.      243 note 6 245
Shareholders, potential conflict between creditors and      18—19
Shareholders, principal-agent effects      20 21
Sharpe ratio      120 121
Sharpe, W.      120
Shimko, D.      202—203
Shin, S.      330 note 7
Short squeeze      182
Short-option aspect      271
Shuffling symmetry      272
Shumway, T.      79
Singleton, K.      122 128 129 131 134 137 138 143 144 154 164 165 171 200 235—237 293 294 305 336 346 347 353 354 357 366 367 368
Sinking-fund tranches      264—265
Sinking-fund tranches, mezzanine-tranche      250 265—271 269 271 273 279 282
Sinking-fund tranches, senior-tranche      250 265—271 269 272 278 282
skewness      315—316 316 317 323 324
Skiadas, C      126 note l
Skodeberg, T.      87 92
Smith, C      289
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